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Extrapolation

Vocabulary

Extrapolation applies a model beyond the range of observations used to support it.

Explanation or usage

Extrapolation uses a model or observed pattern to estimate values beyond the range of the data. It depends on assumptions about how the pattern continues; relationships can change or encounter limits. Predictions farther beyond the observed range warrant closer scrutiny of those assumptions.

Common misunderstandings

A fitted line guarantees the same trend indefinitely.

In How Not to Be Wrong

General context reviewed · book attribution and sources pending

When evaluating a trend projection, distinguish observed data from extrapolated values and consider whether conditions or relationships may change beyond the observed range.

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